So it was just announced that Ben Affleck will be playing Batman in the new Batman/Superman movie set to come out in 2015. Regardless of whether or not this is a good casting call, it is extraordinarily early for a remake. The Dark Knight Rises finished the previous extremely successful Batman reboot in 2012. The previous Batman run ended in 1997 with Batman & Robin. Eight full years before Batman Begins.
Spider-Man 3 and The Amazing Spider-Man are five years apart (2007 & 2012 respectively) and even that was said to be too soon of a reboot.
The audience needs to be given time to cleanse it's pallet of the previous version before a new version can be introduced. An allowance can be made for when the new series is replacing a terrible series. No-one will argue the point that Batman Begins is worlds better than Batman & Robin, but given the improvement, they could have gone sooner than eight years. Probably closer to the Spider-Man five years. But Hollywood timing being what it is.
The problem is that the studio is trying to compete with Disney/Marvel's Avengers 2 Also slated to come out the summer of 2015. Despite the fact that DC has a losing record for summer releases. Everyone saw the insane amount of money that The Avengers made and they want a piece of the ridiculous blockbuster action.
But this is a terrible time for studios to be investing in blockbusters. One failed blockbuster often means the difference between whether or not a studio is going to live or die. They will likely be spending somewhere in excess of $300 million on the Batman/Superman movie, and if it's not a resounding success then they will lose their shirts. The Avengers was a safe bet because it was made up of pieces of other successful movies. Namely Iron Man, Thor, Captain America & to a lesser extent The Incredible Hulk. I was entirely safe for them to wager all their money on that movie because it was made up of pieces that they knew worked.
The S/B movie is under the impression that they have the same safety. They have Man of Steel, which wasn't a smash hit, but made quite respectable profit. And they are assuming that they are hanging onto the coat-tails of the Christopher Nolan Batman franchise. Only Nolan isn't involved. Nor is Christian Bale. None of the cast from those movies have been tagged for this new film. So as far as the audience is concerned, it's an entirely new Batman. A Batman who doesn't have his own stand-alone movie.
They are wagering all of their money on a gamble where 50% of their primary variables are untested. Not just untested, but walking in with a bad reputation. Affleck has a good solid rep for writing, directing, and mainstream acting roles, but his only foray into super-hero films was a colossal failure. That is not a good thing to be hanging over someone's head as they walk into a film that could make or break the studio.
Honestly, if it were me, I'd keep my money the hell away from this project. Especially the same summer as Avengers 2. That's like trying to fight Mike Tyson in your first ever boxing match while you already have a broken arm.
Friday, August 23, 2013
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